So you want to buy a car. Maybe it’s an older car, and maybe your credit history is not so good. If you went to a typical bank, the people there might not be too helpful in giving you a loan. Rest assured, there are other options. This is where Nicholas Financial (NICK) comes in. NICK provides financing programs for people who meet the company’s own credit standards, but might not be so popular at the local bank or credit union. NICK came to light on the Reuters Select stock screen in the Growth category for Accelerating EPS Growth, and, as such, it fits in nicely with this week’s Reuters Select Top Down article series, which examines companies in the Finance sector.
Financial Highlights
NICK’s revenue and EPS growth rates easily surpass the Industry averages over both the last five years and trailing twelve-month (TTM) periods. Further, as the Industry has experienced a decline in the rate of growth of late, from its longer-term average, the company has actually seen its growth rate accelerate. Further, it has improved upon its already superior profit margins.
Regarding its valuation, NICK is currently priced at a premium to the Industry on the basis of price to earnings (P/E), P/Sales, and P/Cash Flow. It is trading a discount to its peers on the basis of P/Book Value and P/Tangible Book Value. NICK’s PEG (forward P/E relative to long-term EPS growth rate) ratios are below parity, indicating that the stock is currently priced at a level that even some of the most Value-oriented investors can find appealing.
Some Background
NICK operates in the Consumer Financial Services industry. It provides loans to consumers, but the company is also involved in acquiring and servicing retail sales contracts for automobile dealers for used and new cars and light trucks. The company provides financing programs, primarily for those who buy new and used cars and light trucks who meet its credit standards, but who do not necessarily meet the credit standards of traditional lenders, such as banks and credit unions. The key aspect here is that the company deals with individuals of a certain credit worthiness that other institutions would probably avoid. But, the differences don’t end there. Figure, banks generally don’t make loans for cars that old or have above a certain amount of mileage on them. That’s fine, because NICK covers that territory as well.
Whereas banks and similar financial institutions might focus on credit history, that is only part of the equation with NICK, which also takes into consideration factors such as place and length of residence, employment status, and personal history regarding installment payments on auto loans. As such, even though somebody might not qualify for a typical bank loan, they can get a green light from NICK.
The company’s focus on this segment of the market has paid off very well, and NICK has expanded it reach. NICK has a total of about 36 branches in Florida, Georgia, both North and South Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Michigan and Kentucky. Recently, NICK broke into Indiana, opening up a branch in Indianapolis. Each branch is set up to deal with up to 1,000 accounts for a total of about $7.5 million.
The combination of strong demand for this level of financing and the company’s protracted geographic expansion has contributed to its superior revenue growth.
More specifically, over the last five years, NICK’s top line expanded at an average annual rate of 18.46%, much faster than the Industry average of 13.39%. In the TTM period, as growth in the overall Industry eased to 2.77%, NICK’s revenue climbed 28.75%.
Margins & Earnings
The company’s recent performance benefited from several key factors, opening new branches is only one of them, as this helped enlarge the company’s loan portfolio. A general improvement in overall credit quality has also enhanced performance, as interest payments are being made on a larger percentage of loans.
Higher levels of revenue have helped the company improve its profit margins. Sure, the overall Industry has been trending in this direction, but NICK has profit margins that make many of its peers jealous.
For example, over the last five years, the Industry’s average Operating Profit Margin was 20.72%; in the TTM span, it stood at 24.00%. By comparison, NICK’s Operating Margin averaged 33.10% over the long haul, and rose o 39.94% more recently. We see that same type of dynamics at the bottom line. Start with the Industry’s Net Profit Margin, which has a five-year mean of 14.07%, but a TTM reading of 16.73%. Now, jump over to NICK, which has a long-term average of 20.56%, but a TTM Net Margin of 24.61%.
Not surprisingly, NICK has been able to accelerate its rate of EPS growth, while the overall Industry, amid a deceleration in its rate of revenue advances, has slowed.
Over the last five years, the Industry’s average annual rate of EPS growth stood at 16.26%. In the TTM span, EPS climbed 9.89%. For NICK, though, good business has meant good earnings. Over the long haul, its EPS has climbed at an average annual rate of 19.03%. And, for the TTM span, its EPS stands fully 24.56% above its year-earlier level.
Other Thoughts
So, we are looking at a company that has been expanding its business, lengthening its geographic reach, and growing overall. The question now becomes, what does this cost? Well, if we look at the company’s TTM performance, such as EPS, revenue, and cash flow, in relation to its current stock price, one would say that NICK is priced at a premium to its peers.
After all, its P/E is currently 15.92 versus the Industry norm of 14.30; its P/Sales is 3.90 against the 2.39 mean of its peers; and its P/Cash Flow is 15.54, compared with the Industry’s 12.65.
There are a couple of valuation metrics, such as P/Book Value, by which NICK comes across as a bit cheaper. But, since stocks are valued on the basis of future earnings, we would be well served to consider analyst expectations about the company’s prospects. Unfortunately, there is only one analyst currently providing estimates to Reuters. Generally, we like to see more, but sometimes you just have to go with what you have. The analyst is looking for EPS advances going forward, and believes that NICK can achieve an annual long-term EPS growth rate of 15.00% going forward.
Based on EPS estimates, NICK is currently trading at forward P/E ratios of 13.22 and 11.52 for 2006 and 2007, respectively. Dividing by the long-term EPS growth rate, NICK has PEG ratios of about 0.88 and 0.77, respectively. Lower PEG ratios represent better bargains, and numbers below 1.00 are particularly attractive. Of course, remember that we are working with only person’s estimates here.
In short, it seems like NICK is a Growth play that even some of the most Value-oriented investors can find appealing. But, there is another aspect here that warrants some consideration: NICK is largely ignored by Wall Street. There is only one analyst covering it, and institutional ownership is very low (16.81% versus the Industry average of 62.21%). Thus, NICK will likely also appeal to investors looking for those little-known stories.